Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002641 0.002819 0.003010 0.003234 0.003488 0.003772 0.004116
2024-12-29 0.002401 0.002647 0.002929 0.003281 0.003717 0.004250 0.004973
2025-01-05 0.002186 0.002461 0.002790 0.003220 0.003786 0.004532 0.005647
2025-01-12 0.002004 0.002289 0.002638 0.003112 0.003763 0.004674 0.006150
2025-01-19 0.001899 0.002198 0.002574 0.003101 0.003859 0.004985 0.006986
2025-01-26 0.001740 0.002025 0.002387 0.002902 0.003658 0.004813 0.006959
2025-02-02 0.001685 0.001980 0.002365 0.002926 0.003781 0.005162 0.007983
2025-02-09 0.001659 0.001972 0.002388 0.003014 0.004012 0.005736 0.009723
2025-02-16 0.001613 0.001932 0.002363 0.003028 0.004122 0.006119 0.011268
2025-02-23 0.001600 0.001936 0.002400 0.003136 0.004405 0.006909 0.014593
2025-03-02 0.001544 0.001877 0.002342 0.003090 0.004409 0.007118 0.016312
2025-03-09 0.001486 0.001814 0.002273 0.003020 0.004361 0.007202 0.017687
2025-03-16 0.001462 0.001798 0.002279 0.003080 0.004579 0.008016 0.024152
2025-03-23 0.001436 0.001781 0.002280 0.003134 0.004799 0.008954 0.035828
2025-03-30 0.001388 0.001727 0.002223 0.003081 0.004793 0.009266 0.045276
2025-04-06 0.001331 0.001660 0.002142 0.002982 0.004674 0.009199 0.050515
2025-04-13 0.001300 0.001628 0.002114 0.002973 0.004750 0.009795 0.078539
2025-04-20 0.001231 0.001539 0.001992 0.002788 0.004415 0.008903 0.058645
2025-04-27 0.001212 0.001522 0.001985 0.002810 0.004548 0.009694 0.112624
2025-05-04 0.001207 0.001526 0.002009 0.002892 0.004836 0.011258 7.378436
2025-05-11 0.001188 0.001508 0.001997 0.002905 0.004959 0.012276 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001186 0.001517 0.002030 0.003005 0.005328 0.014893 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001158 0.001484 0.001991 0.002962 0.005306 0.015387 NaN